GOP Bid for the White House: A Train Wreck in Progress?

The only constant in this season’s GOP presidential primary has been change.  Some good, some not so good.  Having worked for three US presidents and two Texas governors, the one thing I can say with certainty, is more change will happen leading up to the party’s national convention later this year.  But I have to tell you, I continue to be highly concerned with the machinations in the current contest, and the seeming inability of ANY candidate to nail a vision and supporting messages that inspire and engage the electorate with any degree of passion and excitement.  The shifting frontrunner mantle, fickle polls and primary/caucus surprises tend to bear this out.

I keep telling myself that I am being alarmist in my concerns — attack ads from Republicans against Republicans, gaffes that entrench the stereotype that Republicans are out of touch with everyday Americans,  morphing positions on issues that pander to the far right and may come back to haunt them with independents in the general election, the list goes on.

While ever so slightly, economic numbers are trending in Obama’s favor.  Things have been SO bad under Obama, even the slightest uptick gets amplified to more than it really is, with the mainstream media carrying Obama’s water, trumpeting the triumphant improvement.  But I have to tell you, from a public relations perspective (my true area of expertise) Republicans across the board continue to muff it — in the presidential race and in Congress.  From a PR messaging perspective, Obama and the Democrats are successfully outmaneuvering our GOP presidential contenders and Congressional leaders at every turn.  How the hell does an Obama become the champion of middle class tax cuts? Or for that matter of tax cuts of any kind?  That is traditionally a Republican core issue, and we have ceded it to him.  You have to work REALLY HARD to screw that one up.

Meanwhile, our GOP presidential hopefuls are playing the game of a circular firing squad, and when they run out of ammunition, they take out their swords and try .taking each other out with a game of death by a thousand cuts.  Meanwhile, Obama, despite himself, looks presidential each day telling the American people how many great things he has done, and lecturing Congress like some stern parent lecturing a child to get their job done.

The side-show of the GOP primary antics and drama has provided Obama a clear pathway to control the positive messaging on the issues of the day, while our guys carp at each other about who is more “severely conservative.”  As a public relations expert, I can tell you that, at this point, I truly do feel as if I am watching a GOP train wreck in slow motion.  Some of my contemporaries have tried to reassure me that, once we have an actual nominee, all this malarkey will fade away, and the substance and tenor of the debate will change, and the focus will become Obama and his undeniable record of mediocrity if not outright failure.  Perhaps.

But I can tell you this, Republicans and Independents will have to rally, and rally hard to defeat this incumbent president.  He is slick, he is well-funded, he is well-organized and again will have the mainstream media to carry his message to the masses.  For my part, I am hopeful the GOP smoke will clear sooner, rather than later — that we can unify, engage and rise to the occasion.  Irrespective, I remain highly concerned at this point.  Is Santorum “presidential?”  Not sure.  Is Romney imploding?  Possibly.  Is Gingrich done?  I think he may be.  Is Paul relevant?  Only for pooling the few delegates he gains behind the nominee.  In any event, I am hoping some clarity reveals itself soon, and that whoever the nominee is, he will be viable at the end of the melee.  The ultimate goal is simple…winning in November.  At this writing, we are winning very little — in the PR battle nor in the hearts and minds of the electorate.  This must change, and soon.

National Review’s Rich Lowry’s Take on the Obama Budget

Rich Lowry, Editor National Review

One of my favorite editorial writers, Rich Lowry of National Review, offers his take on the charades, games and gimmicks contained in the laughable budget recently submitted to Congress by President Obama.  As an ultimate insult to the collective intelligence of the American people, he submits higher spending, higher taxes, bigger deficits, etc. — knowing full well it will be DOA.  This is the leadership that he suggests “I deserve a second term?”  I hope and pray enough Americans will see through this cynical and irresponsible game and add Mr. Obama to the unemployment lines like he has caused so many to join.  Read away and enjoy.

Rich Lowry: Spend, Tax, Repeat

The Politics of Division: Occupy This!

Occupy Wall Street Protesters

What, to me, seems as one of the most divisive presidencies in modern history continues to grind on and I, like many ordinary Americans, have become weary of the dialog from the extremist ends of BOTH political parties that purportedly “lead” our country. The tone and tenor of today’s political debate on issues of huge importance to us all, our economic stability, personal freedoms and overall quality of life aren’t honorable disagreements of well-intended statesmen and women — it has become mean, hateful and, notably, highly divisive.  Irrespective of your political beliefs, persuasions or affinities — the public record is replete with stark examples of such divisiveness from our current president Barack Obama.  The most current example being the contraception debate and mandates put upon religious organizations and their affiliates in apparent direct violation of our nation’s Constitution.  In example after example from this current administration, they seem to make “accommodations” in policies that either press the limits of, or even cross the line, of government’s authority to impact and intrude into our daily lives.  I think Fox News Channel analyst Dr. Monica Crowley said it best this week on the Catholic “accommodation”: “Mr. President, how about accommodating the Constitution?”  Class warfare, the 1%, corporate jet-owners, sound familiar?  Now he plans to rent out Bank of America stadium at his party’s national convention in Charlotte NC to accommodate those he demonizes, all while holding his hand out for contributions for his re-election campaign. It is simultaneously saddening and maddening. Not to mention galactically two-faced and hypocritical.

I truly believe that our citizenry requires two basic attributes from the presidents we elect — no matter the party: leadership and a unifying vision for our country’s future.  If you accept that premise, Obama has failed to consistently deliver either.  Moreover, I am yet to be convinced that any current candidate for the office of the presidency this election season, based on their performance so far, meets this test.  I am hopeful one will emerge and demonstrate these qualities in a quantifiable and believable way.  Hope springs eternal.  Color me disenfranchised at this point.  But make no mistake, my response to Mr. Obama’s protestation that he “deserves a second term,” I say, “like hell you do.”  Based on what?  Seriously.  You have spent INFINITELY more time, energy and resources seeking to keep your own job Mr. Obama, than you have in any truly measurable effort to re-employ Americans and create an environment where America’s private sector — our economy’s engine — can thrive and turn the corner on this recession.  I agree with many in the political arena that say “Mr. Obama is a decent person, a nice guy, good father and family man.”  My view is that he is simply incompetent — as a leader, manager, steward of our nation’s economics, and knowledge of ANYTHING having to do with what the American people overall want or expect from their government, both in size and in scope.  To be clear, I am not a hater and bear no ill-will to Barack Obama the person, I simply believe he should be fired for non-performance.  No more, no less.  He has single-handedly created more uncertainty, division and regulatory barriers to economic success and vibrancy of any president I can remember.  Extreme ideologies legistlated or mandated upon the governed — liberal OR conservative — fly in the very face of what our Founders envisioned when they drafted our Constitution and Bill of Rights.

His supporters, in his defense, will rightly point to what they believe are significant accomplishments — healthcare for all, numerous programs offering government assistance for more and more people, heavy regulation of numerous industries to “protect” us all.  I suggest that the shear volume of programs, regulations, laws and rules are not a valid measure of any successfully presidency.  But Mr. Obama will no doubt try and convince us that these were SIGNIFICANT accomplishments.  Most objective economists will say the uncertainty created by these “accomplishments” has deepened our recession and that their recurring costs have us on the road to economic disaster.  And there is evidence of this — Obama also accomplished having the first S&P downgrade of our country’s credit rating on his watch.  This is huge, and one of the many negatives in his record that Mr. Obama cynically hopes that we minions will forget, or are simply too stupid to understand.  That we will all be mesmerized by his pretty words, forget his actions and adore his lovely smile.

Mr. Obama has had accomplices in this “fundamental transformation” of America.  Two full years of a totally Democrat Congress led by Nancy Pelosi.  You remember her? “We have to pass the healthcare bill to know what’s in it (devised behind closed doors with a complete shut-out of Republicans) and “Occupy Wall Street is exciting, young and have a relevant message.”  Yeah her.  But I submit Washington’s problem is deeper.  Entrenched congress members and senators of both parties who have occupied their offices for decades.  Cynical, special-interest laden and paid for, and in severe need of retirement in my view.  They are complicit.

This post is getting long, so I will try and wrap up.  But when some say that this election may be the most important of our lifetime, I do not see that statement as either hyperbole or rhetoric.  It just may well be.  As one of the masses, I just sense the majority of us are desperately seeking that Reagan-esque white knight to emerge, articulate a solid vision and save us. — and one hasn’t emerged, so we in the middle remain non-commital, bordering on disenfranchised.  But the stakes are too high to disengage.  We must hold our nose, pick an alternative and press the alternative to perform in the betterment of our country.  To do nothing, would be to concede our future to one has proven himself to be a rabid ideologue with no discernable skills beyond raising money and ability to be divisive, both politically and within factions of our nation’s social fabric.

When someone tells you” “we can’t afford another four years of Obama,” be inclined to believe it.  When someone tells you they are “unimpressed with the alternatives,” be sympathetic, but select one.  I believe the future of our country depends on it.

Monica Crowley: Obama and His Love/Hate/Hypocrisy with the 1%

Dr. Monica Crowley

Just posted from Fox News Channel analyst, Dr. Monica Crowley on Obama’s 180 on the 1% he loves to hate, but now apparently really needs now that it is election season.  Definitely worth the read by clicking the link below.  Enjoy!

Obama and the Beloved One Percent

Santorum’s Surprise

GOP Hopeful Rick Santorum

Santorum technically won Iowa, has stayed relatively competitive, but did anyone see THIS coming?  Clean sweeps of Minnesota and Colorado caucuses and a win in the non-binding Missouri primary.  That large sucking sound you heard last night was the collective clinching of butts of Team Romney.  In what is definitely an odd GOP primary season, while from a PR perspective, the wins may denote momentum, ZERO delegates were won or allocated in any of last night’s races.  The two caucuses were just a beginning in a process to determine delegates and Missouri will have ANOTHER primary that WILL be binding in March.

Obviously a great night for Santorum, a bumpy night for Romney and one could submit a disaster of a night for Gingrich who barely posted and made no post-result comments.  Many have framed the Santorum/Gingrich dynamic as a battle for the non-Romney nominee prospect.  In that case, Gingrich took on serious water last night.

In the final analysis, what does it all really mean in the overall race?  It remains to be seen.  If the goal is to field a competitive candidate to take on Obama in general election, last night’s wins for Santorum alone won’t get him there.  Money, organization and ability to execute a NATIONAL campaign in the face of a billion dollar Obama machine remains formidable.  At this writing, it is clear Santorum does NOT have the resources and organization to compete.  If he gains traction, that could change.  But for now, last night for Santorum is what it is: a good night.  THAT alone will not win the GOP the White House.  Stay tuned.

Newt’s Post Nevada Presser: Astonishingly Inept

Two words come to mind watching Newt Gingrich’s post-Nevada Caucus press conference last evening: beyond belief. After spending the day in meetings with advisers, making fundraising calls and planning strategy, insiders shared with media and others that a major strategy shift for Newt was afoot. He planned to go more positive, dial back the negative attacks and focus more on his record and vision for America’s future. Sounds good, right? But hold on.

What was purportedly to be the normal post return speech, Newt turned the encounter into a nearly half hour press conference that seemingly rambled everywhere. Moreover, the content of said presser encompassed a robust accounting of negative attacks on Romney and, incredibly, a substantial inventory of more of the same “whining” points on how he has been wronged. He’s been outspent, his record has been distorted, he’s been out-maneuvered — Romney is a LIAR. This is EXACTLY the approach that got him creamed in Florida on the campaign trail — all distilled and presented in its concentrated shrillness for all to see and consume at this “press conference.” So much for the advertised “positive” strategy purveyed by advisers earlier in the day.

Many observers, both in and outside the media, were amazed, if not stunned. Via Twitter last night, I reached out to National Review Editor and Fox New contributor Rich Lowry (@richlowry) saying “RICH: Are we watching Gingrich self-destruct before our eyes? His presser was astonishing.” Rich answered me in less than one minute with his reply: “I agree w/you.” Lowry’s educated and informed agreement aside, as someone who has advised CEOs and elected officials alike, I was blown away by Newt’s apparent disregard of not only his advisers’ advice, but petulance in pursuing an approach that he MUST KNOW, killed him in Florida.

A reporter at this debacle press conference made an astute observation that maybe Romney was in Gingrich’s head and was getting to him. Gingrich’s response was a soft-handed insult to the reporter for lacking a psychology degree, dismissing the notion. But you know what? I FULLY believe that Romney is “getting to” Gingrich, and it’s obvious. If this trend continues, in my opinion, Gingrich is on track to become Romney’s greatest campaign asset through his ability to be reactive and, from a messaging/temperament perspective, essentially self-destruct.

Time will tell if the foregoing notions play-out, so stay tuned. But by any measure, Gingrich’s post-Nevada press show was both ill-advised and remarkably damaging to his effort in my opinion. Onward.

Monica Crowley Weighs in on the Trump Endorsement

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Dr. Monica Crowley

Fox News analyst and political commentator Dr. Monica Crowley talks about the affect and rationale on the Donald Trump endorsement of GOP Presidential contender Mitt Romney.  Definitely worth a read by clicking the link below.  Enjoy.

The Donald and The Mitt